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Where Did Americans’ Savings Go?

CNBC

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The trillions in excess personal savings built up in the pandemic are beginning to vanish amid high inflation, according to Federal Reserve economists. The monthly saving rate fell to a 15-year low in 2022. It started a recovery in 2023, but remains well below long-term trends. Despite this slowdown in saving, consumer spending has remained robust, keeping the U.S. from recession. “Something like $2 [trillion] to $2.5 trillion above what we would have otherwise expected were saved by American households,” said Curt Long, chief economist at the National Association of Federally-Insured Credit Unions. Collectively, Americans have trillions in excess savings compared with expectations leading up to the pandemic, according to Federal Reserve economists. Watch the video above to learn about how the personal savings rate affects you and the wider economy. Chapters: 00:00 — Introduction 01:26 — Budgets 02:40 — The personal saving rate 05:33 — Recession? 07:48 — Ways of saving Produced by: Carlos Waters Edited by: Nora Rappaport Animation: Jason Reginato Supervising Producer: Lindsey Jacobson Additional Footage: Getty Images Additional Sources: Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, U.S. Bank » Subscribe to CNBC: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBC » Subscribe to CNBC TV: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBCtelevision About CNBC: From 'Wall Street' to 'Main Street' to award winning original documentaries and Reality TV series, CNBC has you covered. Experience special sneak peeks of your favorite shows, exclusive video and more. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: https://www.cnbc.com/ Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: https://cnb.cx/LinkedInCNBC Follow CNBC News on Facebook: https://cnb.cx/LikeCNBC Follow CNBC News on Twitter: https://cnb.cx/FollowCNBC Follow CNBC News on Instagram: https://cnb.cx/InstagramCNBC #CNBC Where Did Americans’ Savings Go?
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In 2022, the Americanpersonal saving rate fell to a low not seen sincethe Great Recession.

I think a lot of peoplehave been just kind of cooped up during thepandemic times and now we're transitioning plusinflation.

So it definitely hasbeen a little bit harder.

Economists will look atthe savings dynamic and a sort of benign lightsavings accrued over the early part of thepandemic, and that's starting to get spentdown.

But on the personal level, though, that'snot a pleasant process.

This real time dip insaving is stressing out a lot of people.

70% say they are stressedabout their personal finances, and thatincludes 57% of people earning $100,000 ormore.

And the main factorscontributing to financial stress for the sixfigure set include inflation, economy wideinstability, interest rates and a lack ofsavings.

The basic necessities oflife substantially burden your income.

It becomesdifficult to save.

That said.

Americans are sittingwith a lot more savings than they had in thepast.

According to bank depositrecords, Americans as a whole are still betteroff than they've traditionally been.

How much depends onwhich side of the income distribution you're on.

Regardless, Americansacross the board were drawing down thosesavings in the final quarter of 2022.

So why did Americansstop saving and what effect will that have onthis massive group of people that we call theeconomy? My name is Mykail, butthe interwebs know me as the bougie budgeterbecause I make money easy.

I am currentlybased in Phoenix, Arizona.

The majority of UShouseholds use bank accounts.

Mykailrepresents one of these households.

I do take about 8% of mytotal income, and that is tomy 401k contributions.

My company matches at8%.

I also try to save anadditional 15% as well as another about10% of my take home pay I put towards my investinggoals as well.

So my personal savingsrate after my take home, I shoot for about a 15%and I have my savings auto deposited rightinto my high yield savings account becauseif I do not do that, then I will accidentallyspend it and I am a recovering over spender.

And that was my solutionto not overspending.

Collectively, Americanshave trillions more in savings than they didprior to the pandemic.

For a broad swath ofAmericans, their financial condition isstill probably better than it waspre-pandemic.

But those cash cushionsare deflating for the first time in years.

The personal saving ratereflects how much income Americans hold ontoafter their taxes and regular spending.

It's basically just theamount of that that is not consumed.

Much of that income,particularly for what I define broadly asunderserved communities, tends to go toward basicnecessities like housing, food, health care,transportation.

In February 2023, thepersonal saving rate was hovering around 4.

5%.

That's compared to along term average of just under 9%.

You would see spikesaround the dates when those stimulus checkswere sent out and those were not getting spent.

Of course, the otherthing that happened early in the pandemic ispeople were not spending money on the things thatthey were accustomed to spending on.

As inflation has set in,the monthly savings rate has taken a tumble.

This rate only describesone month of earning and saving.

Take a look atthe total deposits held by customers and banksand you'll see that there is way more value inpeople's accounts than any time before thepandemic.

A lot of people wouldpoint to excess savings that occurred early inthe pandemic, something like 2 to 2 and one halftrillion dollars in savings above what wewould have otherwise expected were saved byAmerican households.

Over the past 9 to 12months, that stash of savings has eroded.

It's probably somewherein the 1 to 1 and one half trillion range.

You had folks across thecountry accumulating a bit of a war chest ofsavings, and that really has helped to buoy theeconomy, particularly in a place like the USwhere consumption is such a big part of GDP.

The top half of earnershave over $1 trillion in excess savings.

That'snearly three times as much as the bottom half,according to federal economists.

But theybelieved the lower half still collectively holdshundreds of billions in excess savings.

By their count, itbreaks down to about 5500 per household.

A notehere, this may not mean that you have $5,000 inspare cash laying around.

It may have gone to payoff that amount in student debt or amortgage or a car or to wards your retirement.

37% of Americans have nottouched their pandemic savings and 45% ofAmericans either haven't touched it or have takenout a little bit.

But the majority isintact.

Only 17% of Americanshave pretty much exhausted their pandemicsavings, though.

That cushion may bebeginning to shrink.

Inflation, a nd theimplications for that across categories,whether it be food, whether it be fuel,whether it be rents, you're seeing costinflation that eats into clearly people's currentincome, but also to the extent they havesavings, it also eats into those savingsbecause everyday things are just more expensive.

And if you think about in a pre-pandemic worldwhen a typical black family had about fivedays of liquid savings, there's not a whole lotof financial slack in the system to be able toweather periods of time without income.

Economists believe thatthe extra savings have so far kept people spendingand the country from recession.

At the sametime, a huge swath of the population is livingpaycheck to paycheck, according to recentsurveys.

Take a look at our pollof 1000 people across the country.

What you'llfind is that 69% are pessimistic about thecurrent situation in the economy and they'repessimistic about the future.

That's an alltime high.

I think the consumer isdoing pretty well.

The concern I have isthat the whole world is talking about thisrecession that we're going to have, which wewere supposed to have last year.

Then we weresupposed to have the first quarter of thisyear.

Now we're supposed to have it the secondhalf of this year.

Sometimes when you scarepeople enough into thinking there's goingto be a recession, they will stop consuming andit can be a self-fulfillingprophecy.

Federal economists notethat the low interest rates of recent yearsare backstopping many Americans.

When thisrate goes to zero, the cost to loan out cashdeclines.

And you can see theeffect playing out on this other chart.

Personal interestpayments sank below longer term trendgrowth.

With these excess savings, the economyremains strong, but they expect those stockpilesto dwindle rapidly.

These dynamics areobservable around the world.

Nearly alldeveloped countries have declining householdsavings.

Back in the States, trouble in theregional banking sector may affect the futuredirection of interest rates.

The Fed is trying to slowdown the economy.

That reduction inlending by regional banks might very well do thatwork for them, which means that we may benear the end of interest rate hikes.

The Fed's interest ratecan affect how much money you make from saving.

When the rate goes up,putting money away becomes more valuable.

But if it goes down,that could change what your account offers interms of interest when you are in.

A rising interest rateenvironment.

Savings rates do tend tolag that process.

So right now the Fed hasrates close to 5%.

I doubt that very manypeople can get a 5% savings rate on atypical savings or checking account.

It's a lot happeningright now.

People are losing jobs.

There's just so muchhappening that it's okay if you're not having a15% savings rate, but just as long as you'restarting somewhere.

There are many differentways to save your money, but different methodscan generate returns for you as a saver in theform of interest.

There's no easier way tosave money than to have money taken out of yourpaycheck before you get it and have it go into aretirement plan That's either getting a taxdeduction plus tax deferral, or it may justbe tax free for life if it's a Roth.

But eitherway, the money's taken out first.

Cash stored under yourmattress effectively delivers a negativereturn, at least when the US has inflation.

As prices rise, your oldmoney is worth less when it comes to yourstandard checking account.

Big banks likeWells Fargo, TD Chase and Bank of Americaroutinely offer low returns.

By contrast,high yield savings accounts can delivermuch more in interest.

The national average isincredibly low.

I'm high yield all theway, especially for any dollars that I'm tryingto save.

I suggest always anyshort term savings, any long term savings.

I'mnot a fan of leaving in a savings account, butanything that's between six months to 24 monthsleave it in a high yield savings account.

The national savingsinterest rate was less than 1% in 2023, butsome high yield accounts were netting 4%.

That's much better thanin the past, but still lower than inflation.

And you may be shockedthat you're still getting 0.

1 or 0.

3% and you caneasily get north of 4% withouttaking any undue risk on your cash.

That's a gamechanger.

But not every bank offersa high yield option and not everyone seeks themout.

Roughly 6 million Americans were unbankedin recent years.

This means they don'tuse checking or savings accounts.

The mostcommon reasons were lack of funds, or they simplydon't trust banks.

You've got to reset thethresholds to make sure banking is notburdensome to these individuals,particularly for folks who have lower income,lower net worth, to the extent that they arebanked, their money sits in checking and savingsaccounts.

I think it's probably thecase that a lot of families are leavingsome money on the table.

A high yield account isgoing to also offer a better rate than youmight get with a typical savings account.

You might often have tohave a larger balance in that account to qualifyfor the higher rate.

I had one of those momswho was also a money nerd just like me, and shehad a high yield savings account back in like2006 when the high yield savings rate was like8%.

Banks are offering higherreturns for two reasons.

Number one, they'recompeting for your business.

And numbertwo, the interest rate hikes out of the Fedmake it easier for them to lend to you at afavorable rate.

Smaller banks often usethis strategy to build their deposits.

Even companies likeGoldman Sachs have used this tactic, andcompanies like Apple are getting into the game aswell.

Other products, like certificates ofdeposit, can make your money work for you.

I actually got my firstCD by myself without my mom.

I was like, Youknow what? I'm probably not goingto use this until I graduate and I'll letthat mature.

And I know that thatrate is locked in, which is a lot different froma regular savings account where that rate is notlocked in a.

CD usually carries ahigher interest rate, but it also has a fixedterm.

So your money is goingto be tied up in that product until the termends.

So there is a give andtake there.

But I think for a lot ofhouseholds, if they have the cash to invest overa certain period of time, the CD is a really goodoption right now.

But no matter how you getit done, saving it all is a good start.

Compound interest isreal.

So to the extent thatyou can put some amount away, even if it's belowthe threshold that you had set out maybe a yearago or two years ago when the environment lookedvery different.

That's okay.

Don't be hard onyourself.

Saving a dollar today is still more thansaving $0 today.

So if you can only startsmall, start small and let that habit grow,you're still doing amazing.

영상 정리

영상 정리

1. 2022년 미국의 저축률이 크게 떨어졌어요.

2. 팬데믹과 인플레이션이 영향을 미쳤어요.

3. 많은 사람들이 돈 걱정으로 스트레스를 받고 있어요.

4. 70%는 개인 재정에 대해 걱정한다고 해요.

5. 심지어 10만 달러 이상 버는 사람들도 포함돼요.

6. 인플레이션과 경기 불안이 주요 원인입니다.

7. 기본 생활비가 부담이 되어 저축이 어려워요.

8. 그래도 미국인들은 여전히 많은 저축을 갖고 있어요.

9. 2022년 마지막 분기에 저축이 줄기 시작했어요.

10. 왜 저축을 멈췄는지, 경제에 어떤 영향이 있을까요?

11. 저는 Mykail, 온라인에서는 부지 버저라고 불려요.

12. 저는 애리조나 피닉스에 살고 있어요.

13. 대부분 미국 가구는 은행 계좌를 사용해요.

14. 저는 매월 8%를 401k에 넣어요.

15. 추가로 15%와 10%도 저축해요.

16. 저축은 자동이체로 고수익 계좌에 넣어요.

17. 미국은 팬데믹 전보다 저축이 훨씬 많았어요.

18. 하지만 지금은 저축이 줄고 있어요.

19. 저축률은 세금 후 소득의 얼마나 남았는지 보여줘요.

20. 대부분은 기본 필요에 돈을 써요.

21. 2023년 2월 저축률은 4.5%였어요.

22. 평균은 9%였던 긴 기간 평균보다 낮아요.

23. 경기 부양을 위해 저축이 도움이 됐어요.

24. 많은 사람들은 월급을 거의 다 써요.

25. 69%는 경제에 대해 비관적이에요.

26. 많은 사람들이 경기 침체를 걱정해요.

27. 낮은 금리 덕분에 저축이 유지되고 있어요.

28. 그러나 저축은 빠르게 줄고 있어요.

29. 세계 여러 나라에서도 저축률이 낮아지고 있어요.

30. 미국 은행 위기와 금리 정책이 영향을 미쳐요.

31. 금리가 오르면 저축 이자가 늘어요.

32. 지금 연준 금리는 약 5%예요.

33. 많은 사람들은 5% 이자를 기대하기 어려워요.

34. 실직과 경제 변화가 많아요.

35. 저축을 시작하는 것만으로도 좋아요.

36. 급여에서 자동으로 저축하는 방법이 좋아요.

37. 은퇴 계좌는 세금 혜택이 있어요.

38. 현금은 인플레이션 때문에 가치가 떨어져요.

39. 고수익 저축 계좌를 추천해요.

40. 일부 계좌는 연 4% 이상 이자를 줘요.

41. 은행마다 고수익 계좌가 달라요.

42. 약 600만 명은 은행 계좌가 없어요.

43. 은행 계좌가 없거나 신뢰하지 않아서 그래요.

44. 고수익 계좌는 조건이 있을 수 있어요.

45. 은행들은 경쟁으로 더 높은 이자를 제공해요.

46. CD(예금증서)는 정해진 기간 동안 이자를 받을 수 있어요.

47. CD는 금리가 고정돼 있어요.

48. 장기 투자를 위해 좋은 선택이에요.

49. 저축은 복리의 힘이 있어요.

50. 작은 금액이라도 저축하는 게 좋아요.

51. 오늘의 저축이 내일의 자산이 돼요.

52. 작은 시작도 큰 습관이 될 수 있어요.

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